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Post by listenerwants2know on May 28, 2018 23:53:05 GMT -5
Here´s my prediction for the 6/9-6/10/18-weekend:
6/14/80 (A) - unaired 6/11/88 (B) - last aired in 2015 as an "A"
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Post by dth1971 on May 31, 2018 13:47:30 GMT -5
Premiere doesn't factor in anniversaries when selecting shows. Not saying 8/6/1988 won't air this year, but I don't think it's more likely this year than any other year. And to add: The last 1988 "A" at this point is 4/30. Outside chance 6/11 gets played (last aired in 2015), which could then set up 8/6, which hasn't aired since 2013. If we don't get 6/11, then 7/9 is likely (7/16 and 7/23 both aired as "B" shows the last two years; 7/2 and 7/30 were guest-hosted). if 8/6/88 airs it will most likely be as a "B" option. The "A" should be 8/8/81, which hasn't aired since 2007. Those 2 being paired together looks like a very good possibility. 8/2/86 looks good as a standalone if 6/28/86 isn't aired (the latter seems kind of iffy now since 1986 was just featured at the end of May). Can't 8/6/1988 also be used as an AT40: The 80's BONUS SHOW for July 4th. weekend or Labor Day weekend?
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Post by matt on May 31, 2018 15:44:52 GMT -5
if 8/6/88 airs it will most likely be as a "B" option. The "A" should be 8/8/81, which hasn't aired since 2007. Those 2 being paired together looks like a very good possibility. 8/2/86 looks good as a standalone if 6/28/86 isn't aired (the latter seems kind of iffy now since 1986 was just featured at the end of May). Can't 8/6/1988 also be used as an AT40: The 80's BONUS SHOW for July 4th. weekend or Labor Day weekend? So far, bonus shows have typically been specials of some kind; either AT40 specials, guest hosted shows, the Ken Martin #1 songs specials, etc. Premiere can really do anything they want, but they have yet to play a Casey-hosted weekly countdown as a bonus. I doubt they would play 8/6/88 as a bonus, but you never know.
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Post by dth1971 on May 31, 2018 18:46:55 GMT -5
Can't 8/6/1988 also be used as an AT40: The 80's BONUS SHOW for July 4th. weekend or Labor Day weekend? So far, bonus shows have typically been specials of some kind; either AT40 specials, guest hosted shows, the Ken Martin #1 songs specials, etc. Premiere can really do anything they want, but they have yet to play a Casey-hosted weekly countdown as a bonus. I doubt they would play 8/6/88 as a bonus, but you never know. Only Premiere can play guest hosted AT40 shows when a famous star passes away, it did for Dick Clark and Gary Owens, but not for Don "American Country Countdown" Bowman. If Charlie Van Dyke passes away, can Premiere play his first AT40 guest host episode (3/29/1980) and last guest host episode (1/16/1988) as bonus shows? CVD hosted 30 times for Casey on AT40 in the 1980's!
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Post by OnWithTheCountdown on Jun 1, 2018 11:33:36 GMT -5
^ Pretty sure a June 1984 show will air this year - either 6/9 or 6/23, which my money is on the latter. And 1985 is overdue for an "A" airing - betting on 6/8 (though any but 6/15 are due). I'll predict the June shows will look like: 1983 (already disclosed), 1985, 1980, 1984, and 1988 on the weekend of 6/30. Quoting myself as I predicted 1985 for the weekend of 6/9/2018, while I'll maintain my 6/14/1980 prediction for the weekend of 6/16. I'll also predict a 1988 show as the "B" - unsure if it's 6/11 or 6/18; could be either (though the latter would be closer date-wise). If 6/13/1987 hadn't last aired before the Larry Morgan era, I'd pick that one. I bet it airs next year, which is the lone 1987 show left on that list. For the 70s, 6/12/1976 seems like a slam dunk. I'd be surprised if anything else is picked. As matt mentioned, only one 1976 "A" show has aired this year, and there's no better time for the second one. (To note: I know 1976 is a stand-alone when not selected as a "B" - just clarifying. Same for other stand-alone years.) ETA: I'm going to change my prediction for the weekend of 6/30 to 6/28/1986, which would be a pre-Larry Morgan airing. If the 1986 year-ender is on tap, then I can see two more regular shows air after that one. I think 7/9/1988 will fit better on the weekend of 7/7, which could possibly be the last 1988 airing this year. Outside of 8/6, that's really the only 1988 episode that could possibly air this year, excluding shows that aired the last two years, as well as guest-hosted programs. There's slim pickings for 1988 this time of year. (And to think 8/6 was the lone 1988 show that aired in the inaugural year of the series.)
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Post by OnWithTheCountdown on Jun 1, 2018 11:38:38 GMT -5
Can't 8/6/1988 also be used as an AT40: The 80's BONUS SHOW for July 4th. weekend or Labor Day weekend? So far, bonus shows have typically been specials of some kind; either AT40 specials, guest hosted shows, the Ken Martin #1 songs specials, etc. Premiere can really do anything they want, but they have yet to play a Casey-hosted weekly countdown as a bonus. I doubt they would play 8/6/88 as a bonus, but you never know. I suppose a rare exception to that would be the 8/4/1984 show, played the weekend after Prince's death in April 2016 - in which there were "A" and "B" shows already scheduled. Guessing it was classified as a "bonus" show that weekend.
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Post by OnWithTheCountdown on Jun 1, 2018 21:03:09 GMT -5
Premiere doesn't factor in anniversaries when selecting shows. Not saying 8/6/1988 won't air this year, but I don't think it's more likely this year than any other year. And to add: The last 1988 "A" at this point is 4/30. Outside chance 6/11 gets played (last aired in 2015), which could then set up 8/6, which hasn't aired since 2013. If we don't get 6/11, then 7/9 is likely (7/16 and 7/23 both aired as "B" shows the last two years; 7/2 and 7/30 were guest-hosted). if 8/6/88 airs it will most likely be as a "B" option. The "A" should be 8/8/81, which hasn't aired since 2007. Those 2 being paired together looks like a very good possibility. 8/2/86 looks good as a standalone if 6/28/86 isn't aired (the latter seems kind of iffy now since 1986 was just featured at the end of May). That would be a great pairing, and I bet 8/8/1981 is the next 1981 "A" show. 7/4 was the Beatles special, 7/11 was guest-hosted, and both 7/18 and 7/25 aired the last two years. So we know 1981 is out for July. Still going with 6/28/1986 at the end of June. We know it can't be in the first half of July, just like 1982 can't be in the second half of June due to recent airings. Then I bet we won't get 1986 for a while after that.
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Post by burcjm on Jun 2, 2018 11:00:25 GMT -5
I don't believe a 1982 show will air in June or July, as an "A". The least recent airing of any of those shows was in 2015. Furthermore since a 1985 show has already been disclosed for June 9 that would make 6/29/85 a no-go for the last week of June leaving 6/28/86 as the only possibility remaining. It doesn't seem likely Premiere will choose a July show (which conceivably could happen since the week is dated the last day of the month) since there are so few July shows in rotation. So this probably means 8/2/86 is off the table and 8/7/82 (another show which could be paired with Casey's final show) is a good bet for the first week of August and a 1982 show will be due if not overdue by this time. It's either 8/7/82 or 8/21/82 but I'd bet on 8/7/82 since both 8/16/80 and 8/17/85 are both due for a repeat.
As for 1986, I believe we get 6/28/86, then 10/4/86 and if this is the last presentation of a 1986 show before Christmas that would set up the top 100 of 1986 for year-end.
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Post by burcjm on Jun 2, 2018 11:04:43 GMT -5
Also, I will predict:
6/14/80 (A) as if it could be anything else 6/18/88 (B)
for the week of June 16.
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Post by Hervard on Jun 2, 2018 11:32:57 GMT -5
Well, the last weekend of June (which goes into July 1) is really a toss-up. I suppose if 1988 gets played, it'd be 7/9. 6/25 aired last year. But a lot of years would be ruled out that weekend, due to recent airings from the past couple of years, and years that will air in June. If anything is left, then I'll go with 1986 (6/28), if 1985 doesn't air earlier that month, which I'm betting it will. 6/28/1986 is also a show that hasn't aired since 2008. For June: 6/14/1980 is a sure bet, 6/27/1981 aired as a "B" last year (and as an "A" in 2015), 6/26/1982 aired in 2016, 1983 is airing the first weekend, 1984 is likely to air (either 6/9 or 6/23), 1985 is also likely (thinking 6/8), 6/27/1987 aired as a "B" in 2016, and 6/25/1988 aired as an "A" last year. Barring first weekend in July specials (which rules out 1980, 1981, and 1983), nothing else makes sense...unless 7/4/1987 gets a repeat (first aired in 2015, not repeated since), or 7/3/1982 has an outside shot (last aired as a "B" in 2015). If 7/9/1988 airs on the June 30-July 1, 2018 weekend as the A show, there goes hope for the 30th. anniversary of Casey's last original run AT40 show on 8/6/1988 to be on AT40: The 80's on the first weekend of August 2018. Not necessarily - those shows are just four weeks apart. OnWithTheCountdown mentioned that they don't figure in anniversaries, but they seem to have for that show, since they played it in 2008 for the twentieth anniversary and again in 2013 for the 25th. Other than featuring that show as the sole 1988 show in 2007, it has not been used any other year, even as a "B" show - which, as burcjm suggested it might turn out to be. But it is definitely not out of the question even if we do hear a July, 1988 show.
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Post by Hervard on Jun 2, 2018 11:38:39 GMT -5
Also, I will predict: 6/14/80 (A) as if it could be anything else 6/18/88 (B) for the week of June 16. Yeah, that's what I'm thinking as well. 1987 hasn't been played as a "B" show yet this year, and June 13 would be an ideal show to put on (since June 20 was used as a "B" show last year), but they generally go with recently played shows for "B" shows, and 6/13/1987 hasn't been touched since 2009. Not to say that they wouldn't play that one, but I have a feeling they'll be going with 1988 - either 6/11 or, more likely, 6/18.
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Post by OnWithTheCountdown on Jun 3, 2018 1:35:01 GMT -5
^ Yeah, I don't think 6/13/1987 is up for consideration at this time, since it wasn't last voiced by Larry Morgan. Any show that has aired since 7/11/2009 is fair game for "B" show consideration. (Rare exception was the 4/19/1986 show that aired in 2016 selected as a "B", which the previous airing was prior to 7/11/2009 - but had new voice tracks from Larry Morgan.)
It's quite possible that 8/6/1988 could air this year - unsure as an "A" or "B" (though I think 1981 gets the first weekend in August as an "A", since it's unlikely in June and very unlikely for July). That final 1988 show might be the one exception that Premiere makes for "anniversary" airings - although I really don't think any certain show is more likely to air any given year just because it's on an anniversary. The listing of shows played in the series certainly reflects that.
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Post by burcjm on Jun 11, 2018 11:42:54 GMT -5
Prediction for the June 23 broadcast:
6/23/84 (S)
Seems like a slam dunk. It's been 2 months since 1984 was featured and the show last aired in 2009.
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Post by OnWithTheCountdown on Jun 12, 2018 10:54:37 GMT -5
Prediction for the June 23 broadcast: 6/23/84 (S) Seems like a slam dunk. It's been 2 months since 1984 was featured and the show last aired in 2009. Yep - I'd be surprised if it was anything else.
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Post by matt on Jun 13, 2018 11:35:13 GMT -5
^ Yeah, I don't think 6/13/1987 is up for consideration at this time, since it wasn't last voiced by Larry Morgan. Any show that has aired since 7/11/2009 is fair game for "B" show consideration. (Rare exception was the 4/19/1986 show that aired in 2016 selected as a "B", which the previous airing was prior to 7/11/2009 - but had new voice tracks from Larry Morgan.) It's quite possible that 8/6/1988 could air this year - unsure as an "A" or "B" (though I think 1981 gets the first weekend in August as an "A", since it's unlikely in June and very unlikely for July). That final 1988 show might be the one exception that Premiere makes for "anniversary" airings - although I really don't think any certain show is more likely to air any given year just because it's on an anniversary. The listing of shows played in the series certainly reflects that. The 4/19/86 airing on the weekend of April 16, 2016 was a very odd exception (there were a few unusual picks for shows during 2016) - the 'A' show for that weekend was 4/11/81, which had been played before with Larry M as the emcee (in 2011). It felt as if Premiere had originally planned for 4/19/86 to be the 'A' show, with 4/11/81 as the 'B', but then swapped them at the last minute, possibly since somebody may have realized that 1981 had yet to be aired as an 'A' show in 2016 at the time. I believe that's the only time that a show has been designated as a 'B' that hadn't been previously aired with Larry M hosting.
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